3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: Week 3

Player props may be helpful in quite a lot of methods, from profiting from them straight up inside the betting market to measuring a participant’s potential to supply in every day fantasy soccer.

Here we’ll give attention to using our projections and a slew of different instruments and simulations to assist become profitable betting participant props. For this text, we’re utilizing the chances supplied at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots the place worth may be had this week.

The prop-betting expertise on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting much more enjoyable. You can monitor your participant props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Each and each week I’ll be bringing separate prop bets articles for Monday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and the Sunday important slate.

Note: Betting strains and our participant projections could change after this text is revealed.

Kareem Hunt Any Time Touchdown (+185)

The Cleveland Browns are internet hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers in a traditional AFC North matchup.

(*3*)Thursday Night Football brings a modest 38.5-point over/underneath and a 4.5-point unfold in favor of the house Browns. This sport may very well be a little bit of an unsightly one contemplating there might be 20 MPH winds in Cleveland.

(*3*)The Browns have a 21.00 implied group whole and are anticipated to get some factors on the board, in order that’s the place we wish to look for a landing. We know that Kareem Hunt is in a timeshare with Nick Chubb(*3*)however there are nonetheless loads of possibilities for Hunt.

(*3*)(*3*)Through two video games this season, Hunt has a complete of 30 touches and has performed on 51.8% of the group’s offensive snaps. What’s extra vital to notice is that Hunt has 6 out of the group’s 16 purple zone dashing makes an attempt and a couple of out of the 7 purple zone targets. That means 8 of his 30 whole touches (26%) have come within the scoring space of ​​the sector. Not too unhealthy for a “backup working again.”

(*3*)(*3*)(*3*)The Steelers are available with the Twelfth-worst run protection by our metrics, placing Hunt in a good spot to seek out the top zone.

Jacoby Brissett Under 192.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Next up, time to take an underneath for Jacoby Brissett.

As famous above, there might be stiff winds on this sport, a vital observe for passing props. High winds influence the passing sport, particularly deep balls, which may restrict a quarterback’s passing upside. That is a strong start line for this underneath in a sport that already has a really modest 38.5-point whole.

Cleveland is available in with a forty five.32% cross play proportion this season, which is the third-lowest within the league. This should not be a shock in any respect — a group with their backup quarterback on the helm has turned to the dashing sport on a extra frequent foundation.

The Steelers are available with the sixth-best cross protection, making this a tricky check for Brissett, who’s averaging simply 188 passing yards per sport. Our projections have Brissett going for 183.87 passing yards, hitting the underneath on his whole.

Mitch Trubisky to Throw an Interception (-130)

Finally, an interception prop for Mitch Trubisky.

This may be summed up merely — Trubisky is not a great quarterback and has confirmed over the course of his profession that he’s very vulnerable to interceptions.

To break that down additional, Trubisky is available in with -6.20 Net Expected Points (NEP) this season. He’s received a mark of -0.08 Passing NEP per drop again and a 37.33% Success Rate. He is not a great quarterback this 12 months and has a tricky check in entrance of him tonight.

The Browns’ protection is available in holding opposing quarterbacks to a 59.72% completion proportion, which is the ninth-best within the league. They even have a 7.69% group sack proportion, which is the Twelfth-best within the league. The Browns have been identified for a strong cross rush over the previous few seasons, they usually’re beginning issues off the identical means this 12 months.

Pressure on quarterbacks results in rushed passes, unhealthy selections, and interceptions. Our projections have Trubisky throwing 0.94 interceptions tonight.

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