Eric Moody’s favorite fantasy football draft targets

Since the conclusion of the NFL Draft in late April I’ve participated in over 60 fantasy football mock drafts.

Based on these mocks, listed below are the gamers that hold ending up on my groups. I’ve included ADP (common draft place) from our reside draft developments.

You can learn draft notes written by my colleague and projections maestro Mike Clay by clicking on a participant’s identify.

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson, Broncos (ADP: 88.7, QB11)

Wilson has sky excessive expectations in 2022 from the Broncos and fantasy football managers, and I imagine he can meet them. Denver has had suboptimal quarterback play since Peyton Manning retired on the finish of the 2015 season whereas Wilson thrived in Seattle. Since 2016, he’s ranked eighth in completions (1,956), sixth in passing yards (23,085) and third in touchdowns (186) for a Seahawks offense that was thirty first in whole passing makes an attempt (3,124) over that timeframe. Wilson might end as the highest fantasy quarterback for a Broncos crew that can lean closely on the passing sport in excessive scoring matchups within the AFC West that features the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders.

Derek Carr, Raiders (ADP: 109.8, QB13)

Carr is one other underappreciated fantasy quarterback with top-five upside in 2022 with Davante Adams as his new No. 1 receiver. Manning (33,189) and Matt Ryan (32,757) are the one quarterbacks to throw for extra yards than Carr (31,700) of their first eight profession seasons. He threw for a career-high 4,804 passing yards final season, however solely threw 23 touchdowns. Adams will be capable of assist him on this space. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Carr had the ninth-highest passing rating on deep makes an attempt in 2021. These elements, together with new head coach Josh McDaniels’ offensive mindset, place Carr nicely for a breakout season.

Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins (ADP: 152.6, QB16)

In 2022, Tagovailoa’s beginning job and future with the Dolphins are at stake. Even within the face of adversity, Tagovailoa has an opportunity to exceed expectations. Tyreek Hill and Chase Edmonds are among the many playmakers the Dolphins have added to their offense this offseason. Since 2010, there have been 29 quarterbacks chosen in Round 1 of the NFL Draft to have a go try of their third season. Twenty 5 of 29 performed greater than 50% of their crew’s video games whereas 17 of the 25 had 3,250 or extra passing yards. Tagovailoa might throw for 4,000 or extra yards and 25 or extra touchdowns with the supporting forged the Dolphins have round him. If you are enjoying a superflex league, he makes an important QB2.

Running Backs

D’Andre Swift, Lions (ADP: 18.0, RB8)

Swift is available within the late first spherical. He had 213 touches, 1,069 whole yards and 7 touchdowns in 13 video games final season, and his prowess as a receiver elevates his fantasy ceiling. The solely working backs who had a better goal share than Swift (13.9%) final season had been Austin Ekeler (14.3%), Alvin Kamara (14.3%) and Najee Harris (14.4%). Swift’s fantasy prospects might be bolstered by the Lions’ offensive line, which is anticipated to be a energy. In his profession, he has solely had 20 or extra touches in 4 video games. Swift has prioritized engaged on enjoying by means of minor accidents this offseason, so this might change in 2022.

AJ Dillon, Packers (ADP: 101.3, RB32)

For a Packers offense desperately in search of reliable playmakers, Dillon is a flex possibility with upside for fantasy managers. Over the final two seasons, the one different groups with a better run block win charge than the Packers (73.5%) had been the Philadelphia Eagles (73.8%) and the Washington Commanders (74.4%). While solely two of Dillon’s working makes an attempt final season went for greater than 20 yards, and he was one in all simply seven working backs within the league to hold the ball 150 or extra instances and have two or fewer runs of 20 or extra yards, Dillon is more likely to have higher luck on this space and will see extra targets as a receiver.

Melvin Gordon III, Broncos (ADP: 124.5, RB37)

Javonte Williams has captured the eye of the fantasy group, and rightfully so, however the Broncos re-signed Gordon in late April earlier than the NFL Draft. In 2021, he began most of Denver’s video games whereas splitting touches with Williams, and that might once more be the case in 2022. Among lively working backs, Gordon ranks No. 4 with 6,144 profession speeding yards. Mark Ingram II, Ezekiel Elliott and Derrick Henry are the one working backs with extra. He is firmly on the flex radar.

Dameon Pierce, Texans (ADP: 164.1, RB47)

The Texans want to spice up their working sport after ending final season with 1,422 speeding yards and three.4 yards per carry, the worst within the NFL. That increase has include Pierce, their fourth-round rookie out of Florida. He scored 13 speeding touchdowns for the Gators in 2021. As a crew, the Texans scored eight speeding touchdowns in 2021, which was tied for the fewest within the NFL. Pierce is surrounded by veteran backfield gamers Marlon Mack, Rex Burkhead, Dare Ogunbowale and Royce Freeman in an uninspiring Houston backfield. He is price taking a flier on late in fantasy drafts.

Gus Edwards, Ravens (ADP: 168.4, RB53)

The Ravens’ working sport might be constructed round quarterback Lamar Jackson and working backs JK Dobbins and Edwards. In 2020, when all three of them had been wholesome, they gathered 3,071 speeding yards, the third-highest whole in NFL historical past. It is reported that Dobbins will not be prepared for Week 1. In gentle of the uncertainty surrounding Dobbins availability, I would like to focus on Edwards late in fantasy drafts.

Wide Receivers

Stefon Diggs, Bills (ADP: 12.4, WR5)

Diggs has the potential to complete the 2022 season because the fantasy WR1. Since becoming a member of the Bills in 2020, Diggs has racked up massive numbers, rating within the NFL’s prime 10 in receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Diggs has additionally set profession highs in targets whereas with the Bills. He wasn’t fairly as efficient throughout his second season in Buffalo, coping with a excessive variety of double-teams, fewer slot targets and extra vertical targets, however nonetheless completed because the WR7 in PPR codecs in 2021. The Bills low season additions ought to present Diggs extra flexibility to see extra slots and intermediate targets.

Mike Evans, Buccaneers (ADP: 23.6, WR9)

Throughout his profession, Evans has averaged 16.3 fantasy factors per sport whereas surpassing 1,000 receiving yards in each season. With Tom Brady beneath middle, Evans has averaged 72.0 receptions, 1,020 receiving yards and 13.5 touchdowns per season. Evan could possibly be leaned on extra in the course of the early a part of the season as Chris Godwin recovers from a knee damage suffered late final season and Julio Jones works his method into the combination.

Tee Higgins, Bengals (ADP: 33.9, WR11)

In fantasy drafts this summer season, Ja’Marr Chase will draw a whole lot of consideration, and with good cause. However, Higgins, who had 74 receptions for 1,091 yards and 6 touchdowns in 14 video games final season, might find yourself being the higher worth. It is feasible for each to see eerily comparable goal volumes.

DJ Moore, Panthers (ADP: 36.6, WR13)

Moore completed final season with a goal share of 28.4%, which was sixth highest within the league. He additionally ranked fifth in air yards with 1,632. Moore has had three-straight seasons with 1,100 or extra receiving yards. The Panthers new offensive coordinator, Ben McAdoo, can even play a pivotal position in Moore’s manufacturing this season. With his West Coast, up-tempo and quick-release ideas, Moore ought to be capable of achieve important yards after the catch on passes from Baker Mayfield.

Terry McLaurin, Commanders (ADP: 42.1, WR15)

McLaurin is one other receiver who is simple to miss in fantasy drafts. Last season, he averaged 100 or extra air yards per sport, rating among the many prime 10. In McLaurin’s profession, he averaged 7.76 targets and 67.2 receiving yards per sport. On prime of all that, Carson Wentz could also be the perfect quarterback he has performed with. McLaurin has probability to have a profession yr.

Michael Pittman Jr., Colts (ADP: 42.5, WR16)

Last season, Pittman turned the primary Colts broad receiver to surpass 1,000 receiving yards since TY Hilton in 2018. And he did so with a 25.7% goal share. Pittman has a vibrant future with Matt Ryan beneath middle, who has a historical past of peppering his No. 1 receiver with targets. Julio Jones averaged 9.8 targets per sport with Ryan throughout his time with the Falcons. It is feasible that Pittman might end as a low-end WR1 this season.

Darnell Mooney, Bears (ADP: 67.8, WR24)

During Mooney’s second season within the NFL, he led the Chicago Bears in receptions (81), receiving yards (1,055) and targets (140). Mooney additionally ranked within the top-20 in air yards and goal separation. The high quality of his targets had been lower than preferrred final season, however that might change in 2022 beneath a brand new regime. Quarterback Justin Fields and Mooney have been spending extra time collectively than some other Bears teammates this offseason. Having educated collectively in Atlanta in March, Mooney stayed with Fields, and since collaborating within the low season program in April, the 2 have continued to push one another on and off the sector. Don’t overlook Mooney at his ADP.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs (ADP: 82.1, WR32)

With Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, Smith-Schuster can have an enormous comeback season. Fortunately, he is now in a really artistic offensive scheme with Mahomes at his peak. That’s fairly a distinction from final season when he was catching passes from a weak-armed Ben Roethlisberger within the twilight of his profession. Smith-Schuster is Kansas City’s greatest broad receiver. He’s going to feast in a Chiefs offense that has 360 targets and a pair of,753 obtainable receiving air yards. Mahomes has had essentially the most slot broad receiver targets during the last two seasons amongst all quarterbacks.

Christian Kirk, Jaguars (ADP: 101.5, WR39)

Kirk had a profession yr final season with 77 receptions for 982 yards and 5 touchdowns. He recorded 722 receiving yards from the slot. This was the fourth-most within the league after Cooper Kupp (1,321), Mark Andrews (901) and Tyler Boyd (766). Whether you agree with the contract supplied to Kirk by the Jaguars is immaterial. The Jaguars had been in determined want of broad receivers, and Kirk is anticipated to steer them in targets, receptions and receiving yards this season.

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz, Cardinals (ADP: 97.1, TE9)

Ertz arrived in Arizona forward of Week 7. For the remainder of the season, the one tight finish with extra targets than Ertz (79) was Mark Andrews (107). Ertz re-signed with the Cardinals this low season for a three-year deal price $17.5 million, and can play a vital position within the upcoming season. He will proceed to be closely focused by Kyler Murray, particularly within the pink zone whereas DeAndre Hopkins serves his six-game suspension.

Cole Kmet, Bears (ADP: 143.1, TE15)

Kmet appears optimistic in regards to the Bears’ offense beneath the brand new teaching regime. While Kmet caught 60 passes for 612 yards and no touchdowns final season, he ranked No. 8 amongst tight ends in targets (93). Kmet could also be extra concerned within the passing sport this yr, which is why he has been coaching with Justin Fields and Darnell Mooney this offseason. Kmet might even see extra targets in the long run zone or close to the purpose line with new offensive coordinator Luke Getsy.

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