In the primary of a six-part fantasy draft preview collection main as much as the NFL season, Fantasy Insanity discusses the war-room sport plan for the draft. Next week: Tight ends.
Everyone loves the “good ol’ days,” even when we do not all agree when these good ol’ days really occurred. Maybe you appreciated the bell-bottoms of the Nineteen Seventies, the garish neon colours of the ’80s or the grunge pattern of the ’90s.
The 2022 fantasy football season is primed to ship a throwback of its personal, to the great ol’ days of running back-heavy drafts. You know what, let the Madman amend that assertion: It’s a throwback to the worth of these days, even when it will not be a throwback draft in apply.
Maybe it is the necessity to be completely different, behavior primarily based on the assimilation to PPR scoring or only a lack of awareness positional depth, however many will go for vast receivers early, and even embrace the zero-RB concept.
You can win by doing this, however it’s a must to be fortunate. You want the correct gamers to get injured, to draft precisely the correct “sleeper” picks or have sufficient to win free-agent bidding on the correct guys on the proper time.
On the opposite hand, if you happen to go RB-heavy early, the one luck you want is to keep away from catastrophic harm to one in all your high two guys. By no means is that a simple hurdle to clear at that place, however it’s a extra possible achievement than touchdown on two direct hits later in drafts or on the waiver wire.
Which brings us to our most necessary level: The vast receiver place is extremely deep. You can discover high quality, startable guys nicely into the center rounds. That is rather more tough to do with RBs.
Thus, the Madman offers his endorsement this election yr to early-round running backs. Our confidence in RB choices begins to decrease considerably earlier than you attain RB20 — Javonte Williams at RB18 is the final of these we really feel snug relying upon, and we begin to get nervous with James Conner at RB19.
To be honest, our “comfortable” WR vary begins to drop round WR28 with Gabriel Davis and Adam Thielen, earlier than Treylon Burks and Tyler Locket. But, the caveat is, these WRs go so much deeper in drafts than the RBs. Even if RBs do not dominate the primary spherical like they used to, they nonetheless populate a disproportionate quantity of picks within the first 3-5 rounds.
Among the final of our comfortable RBs to get drafted is Josh Jacobs, who has an ADP of fifty.52. The final of our comfortable WRs, Thielen has an ADP of 77.83, greater than two rounds later.
Then let’s speak late flyers. We like RBs Rashaad Penny, Tony Pollard, Michael Carter, Chase Edmonds and Ronald Jones. But we do not wish to really should play them routinely.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Rashod Bateman, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Russell Gage, Michael Gallup, Christian Kirk, Adam Lazard, Kadarius Toney, Elijah Moore, Skyy Moore — these are all gamers we really feel snug including to our roster at their draft place, even when we would favor to additionally not depend on them. But that checklist is for much longer.
And if you happen to’re pondering exterior the field to tight finish or quarterback with early picks, nicely, cease. There are simply too many productive fantasy QBs. When you will get Matthew Stafford within the tenth spherical and/or Derek Carr within the eleventh, you will get extra insurance coverage on the extra risky positions and nonetheless discipline a title-worthy workforce.
And certain, the highest tight ends are tempting. But we fear about defensive consideration to Travis Kelce with out Tyreek Hill, and potential age-related regression. Mark Andrews virtually doubled his manufacturing final season from the yr earlier than, so we fear about regression there as nicely. The relaxation? Injury issues or different questions. We simply may as nicely wait and even punt on tight ends.
So put in your throwback jersey, crank up the Evanescence, get away the DVD participant and rewatch “Old School,” then seize a number of running backs early in your fantasy drafts.