Fantasy Football Picks: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Targets, Values ​​for Week 3

We are already via 11% of the 2022-23 NFL season! Time certain does fly, particularly whenever you’re having enjoyable stacking the BAL/MIA sport from Week 2. Per DraftKings Sportsbook, there are two video games with a complete of a minimum of 50 factors — BUF/MIA (53) and DET/MIN (53). HOU/CHI and NO/CAR have the bottom totals at 40.5. There are not any double-digit favorites and 4 video games are underneath a area objective – ATL/SEA (2), GB/TB (2), NO/CAR (2.5) and LV/TEN (2). There are eight highway favorites this weekend – KC -6.5 at IND, PHI -6.5 at WAS, BUF -5.5 at MIA, CIN -5 at NYJ, BAL -3 at NE, LV -2 at TEN, NO -2.5 at CAR and SAT -3.5 at ARI.

These are my early ideas, however a lot of my lineup development will depend upon projected possession numbers on the finish of the week. That stated, listed below are my studs and values ​​for Sunday’s important DraftKings fantasy soccer slate.

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Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts$7,900 — There are a ton of fine quarterbacks on this slate and most will go along with Josh Allen ($8,200), Jalen Hurts ($7,600), Lamar Jackson ($8,000) p Tua Tagovailoa ($6,100). I see paths in all of these video games that would considerably disappoint, particularly when factoring in possession. The Colts are probably the greatest run defenses within the league and play primarily a Cover-2 scheme on the backend. That ought to skew issues extra in direction of the cross, which is at all times an excellent factor when you’ve Mahomes underneath middle, and the weak point of the Colts protection completely aligns with the energy of the Chiefs, which is Travis Kelce ($7,900).

Other Options – Josh Allen ($8,200), Jalen Hurts ($7,600), Lamar Jackson ($8,000), Kyler Murray ($7,300)


Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals$6,500 — Stafford is my favourite quarterback on this slate. There are so many “good” choices up prime that Stafford will greater than possible go neglected, however this sport atmosphere is the most effective for my part. So far this season, the Rams and Cardinals are sixth and ninth in passing fee. Arizona blitzes on the highest fee whereas being twenty eighth in cross protection DVOA. Stafford is among the finest quarterbacks towards the blitz. Last season, based on Next Gen Stats, Stafford had a 141.8 passer score towards the blitz, the very best mark since 2016. The completion share was 71.9% towards the blitz in comparison with 66.2% when not pressured, and 16 of his 17 interceptions got here with 4 or fewer rushers. The complete is a wholesome 48.5 factors and this could possibly be a back-and-forth affair.

Other Options – Joe Burrow ($6,600), Marcus Mariota ($5,500)

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Running Back


Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions$7,900 — Did you see the Cousins ​​debacle on Monday night time? I’ve a not-so-sneaky suspicion that the Vikings will lean on the bottom sport this week, particularly because the Lions have been capable of generate strain, rating ninth in adjusted sack fee. Detroit can also be twenty third in rush protection DVOA and has allowed essentially the most dashing touchdowns thus far this season.

Other Options – Austin Ekeler ($8,000), D’Andre Swift ($7,200)


David Montgomery, Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans, $5,900 – Montgomery is the man for the Bears, garnering 66% and 80% of the snaps within the first two video games. He’s rushed 17 and 15 occasions whereas receiving 4 and a pair of targets. This sport has a low complete of 40.5 factors however the unfold is simply two factors in favor of Chicago, so Montgomery ought to get fed. Houston is twenty fifth in rush-defense DVOA and has allowed essentially the most dashing yards so far whereas permitting the ninth-most receptions to working backs.

Other Options – Josh Jacobs ($5,400), Miles Sanders ($5,500)

Wide Receiver


Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals, $9,900 — Well, Stafford is my favourite quarterback on the slate so it is solely pure that I would love Kupp as properly. He’s costly so choices should be made. That stated, my momma typically instructed me that you just get what you pay for and Kupp has delivered the products most of the time since being paired with Stafford. In two video games towards Arizona final season, Kupp caught 5-of-7 targets for 61 yards and a landing in a single sport and hauled in 13 of 15 targets for 123 yards and a landing within the different.

Other Options – Justin Jefferson ($9,300), Stefon Diggs ($7,700), Davante Adams ($8,400), Ja’Marr Chase ($8,100), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,200)


Breshad Perriman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers$3,900 – I do know, I do know. It’s gross however Perriman needs to be on the sphere so much this Sunday. Mike Evans is out resulting from a one-game suspension whereas Chris Godwin and Julio Jones are possible out resulting from harm. Snaps are half the battle. Yo, Joe! If it is any comfort, after Evans was ejected final week, Perriman caught three of 5 targets for 45 yards and a landing.

Other Options – Brandin Cooks ($5,800), Curtis Samuel ($5,100), Drake London ($5,800)

Tight End


Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts, $7,900 – Kelce leads the Chiefs in objectives. The Colts protection permits passes in the course of the sphere, which interprets to elevated tight finish manufacturing. Keep It Simple Stupid.

Other Options – Darren Waller ($5,800)


Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals, $4,500 – Well, I really like Stafford and Kupp. Why not double up on the highest tight finish choice? Higbee is second on the crew in objectives and has acquired 11 and 9 within the first two video games. The Cardinals have allowed essentially the most receptions and touchdowns to tight ends this season. 1 + 1 = 2.

Other Options – Dawson Knox ($4,100)

Defense/Special Teams


Bengals at DST New York Jets, $3,600 – The Bengals are favored by 5 factors on the highway and will bounce again from their early offensive struggles because the Jets’ protection has had issue getting strain on the quarterback and is dead-last in pass-defense DVOA. If they put up factors, then that may drive the Jets to reply appropriately. In the primary two video games, Joe Flacco ($5,300) has dropped again to cross 59 and 44 occasions. He’s thrown one interception and has been sacked 5 occasions. The Bengals DST solely has two sacks and one fumble restoration on the season however there needs to be loads of alternatives to rack up factors.

Other Options – Eagles DST ($2,900), Rams DST (3,400), Bills DST (3,500)


Packers at DST Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $2,800 – Tampa Bay is a wounded and hobbled crew proper now, as the highest three receiving choices could possibly be out whereas the offensive line has points. Green Bay is tenth in cross protection DVOA and thirteenth in adjusted sack fee, however they’ve loads of playmakers, particularly within the secondary, to make splash performs.

Other Option – Seahawks DST ($2,700), Lions DST (2,200), Jaguars DST ($2,300)

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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and am additionally an avid fan and consumer (my username is sontzu) and will generally play on my private account within the video games that I provide recommendation on. Although I’ve expressed my private view on the video games and methods above, they don’t essentially replicate the view(s) of DraftKings and don’t represent a illustration that any specific technique will assure success. All prospects ought to use their very own talent and judgment in constructing lineups. I may deploy completely different gamers and methods than what I like to recommend above. I’m not an worker of DraftKings and shouldn’t have entry to any private info.

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