Kawakami: Quick thoughts on the Warriors’ deadline pressures and the 49ers’ big challenge

What the Warriors do — p do not do, possibly much more importantly — in the subsequent few weeks main as much as the Feb. 9 commerce deadline will inform us so much about how the entrance workplace is approaching this fateful upcoming offseason and how a lot championship life they consider is left in the core of this crew.

Because you may take a look at Thursday evening’s stirring extra time loss and assume, yeah, everytime you’ve bought Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson wholesome and laser-focused on proving all people unsuitable once more, you have bought an opportunity to win one other title, so why make drastic adjustments on the fly? And if Jordan Poole performs that type of two-way recreation, abruptly Steve Kerr’s new beginning lineup seems fairly harmful in potential playoff matchups towards Memphis, Denver or New Orleans.

You also can conclude that the Warriors aren’t almost as deep as they have been in earlier title runs, together with final season, they’re beneath .500 by means of 55 % of the season for a motive, and they don’t seem to be prone to survive 4 playoff rounds probably with out dwelling courtroom benefit and with simply eight or 9 reliable gamers.

So I’ve bought a double conclusion from that Boston efficiency: It not solely proved that this Warriors season may be saved however that it’s price attempting to avoid wasting.

But to try this, the Warriors must sacrifice a bit of their future. And to do that, the Warriors’ brass must have a great inkling that the Curry-Draymond-Klay period is sweet to undergo subsequent season. Do they’ve that inkling? TBD

• Draymond is the present-and-future pivot level right here. He virtually at all times is. He’s bought a participant possibility for subsequent season — the Warriors not often give these out (Kevin Durant was the earlier exception), however they did it for Draymond to acknowledge that he is prolonged his deal a number of occasions when he would’ve gotten extra if he’d waited it out and hit the open market. Those had been his personal selections, however this time the Warriors rewarded him with the participant possibility. Which takes each side to the brink subsequent summer season.

There’s no motive for Draymond to make up his thoughts till July. He’s correctly letting this season play out earlier than making any declarations. He is aware of the Warriors are in a luxury-tax crunch. They’ve bought Jonathan Kuminga and James Wiseman, two younger gamers who theoretically may fill a few of his minutes in the future.

But nobody, two and even three gamers are ever going to exchange even 75 % of what Draymond has achieved for this franchise for years. Is that price a two-year, $50 million extension this July? $60 million? Will Draymond need a new begin elsewhere? We’ll see. But a deep run this summer season, if the Warriors can handle that, would go a protracted approach to getting each side to work to maintain this factor collectively into 2023-24.

• I doubt the Warriors will contemplate buying and selling Kuminga. He’s the solely latest lottery decide who has earned a spot in Kerr’s rotation (when wholesome) and he is the one who nonetheless has the potential to be a star. Of course, Wiseman has been damage an excessive amount of (and is damage now) and carried out too erratically to place in that class. Moses Moody’s DNP-CD on Thursday, when Kerr solely performed eight guys, is all you must find out about Moody’s place in the roster hierarchy.

It’s not clear what Wiseman or Moody — or Wiseman and Moody (and even Patrick Baldwin Jr.) in a bundle — are price on the commerce market proper now. Probably not that a lot. But possibly the Warriors can manufacture a suggestion to get a rotation participant like Jakob Poeltl, Alex Caruso or Eric Gordon?

I get that there are grey areas right here. It’s not all spelled out. There’s threat in every single place. But is preserving the potential of Wiseman’s future with the Warriors at the expense of what is potential proper now with Curry, the best participant the franchise will ever have, actually what the Warriors need to do right here?

If the Warriors do not significantly contemplate a transfer like this by Feb. 9, it may sign that they don’t seem to be positive or not planning for Draymond to be again. That’s why they’d need to maintain onto Wiseman. And I do know Joe Lacob and Bob Myers like their younger gamers and do not need to begin burning future draft selections. That’s not illogical in any respect. What in the event that they make a transfer and they nonetheless come up manner brief this summer season? That can be a debacle.

But particularly after that big effort in Boston on Thursday, betting on Curry-Draymond-Klay another time appears fairly in line with the pondering that made the Warriors who they’re proper now.

• Final Warriors thought: However this season goes, I do not assume the Warriors will begin subsequent season with all three of those gamers on the roster and payroll — Draymond, Wiseman, Jordan Poole. If you realize that, and two of these three are serving to you now and one is not, possibly you can also make an early determination on this one.

GO DEEPER

‘I believe I’ll preserve doing it’: Warriors’ Steve Kerr makes seismic beginning lineup change

• At some level, Brock Purdy will not look nice in a big recreation. Maybe that’ll contribute to a 49ers playoff loss. That may come Sunday towards a really harmful Dallas crew. It may come the weekend after that in Philadelphia. It may not come till subsequent postseason, who is aware of. All quarterbacks are vulnerable to a stumble or two in elimination moments.

But except he completely unravels, it is fairly clear that Purdy’s seven-game stretch has confirmed that he is the 49ers’ greatest QB possibility into the future. Actually, I’m fairly positive the 49ers’ brass determined that some time in the past (my guess: proper after the victory in Seattle, judging by the seems on a number of executives’ faces that evening).

• A word, since we’re on the 49ers-Cowboys nostalgia run: Then-25-year-old Joe Montana threw 3 interceptions (and 3 touchdowns, certainly one of them relatively massive) in the titanic January 1982 NFC title-game victory over Dallas. Montana’s regular-season TD/INT ratio was 19/12 and he had an 88.4 passer ranking. You do not need to be good as a younger QB to point out you are the man.

I’m not saying Purdy is Montana. I’m simply saying younger QBs develop into it in a whole lot of methods, and that does not imply trying precisely like Patrick Mahomes in each big recreation. Oh wait, keep in mind Mahomes’ final two playoff losses: He threw a mixed 4 interceptions in the season-ending losses to Tampa Bay in Super Bowl 55 and Cincinnati in final yr’s AFC title recreation. Those losses weren’t Mahomes’ fault. But even the best QBs aren’t singularly nice in each playoff recreation.

• With Jalen Hurts’ well being a query mark going into the Eagles’ divisional-round assembly with the Giants on Saturday, I believe Dallas is perhaps the most harmful NFC opponent potential for the 49ers.

We know that the 49ers have been unbelievable at avoiding turnovers in the final 11 weeks (only a whole of 5 throughout the successful streak, whereas forcing 23 on this span for a ridiculous plus-18 turnover margin), however the Cowboys’ protection led the league with 33 takeaways in the common season. If the Cowboys drive one or two early turnovers, this might put the 49ers in a bit little bit of panic mode. I do not assume Purdy and the 49ers would soften on this scenario, however down early to Dallas in the NFC divisional spherical is a bit bit completely different than chasing down, say, the Raiders in Week 17.

• And Dak Prescott plus Tony Pollard plus CeeDee Lamb current the hardest full offensive risk to the 49ers since they confronted Mahomes and the Chiefs again in October. Otherwise often called the final time the 49ers misplaced.

• I’m nonetheless choosing the 49ers to win this recreation (official decide on Twitter about 24 hours earlier than kickoff), however I believe it will go right down to the wire. And then it may very well be determined by … kickers Brett Maher and Robbie Gould? If it is windy at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday, that might get very attention-grabbing.

• Since I discussed a number of weeks in the past — in the Carlos Correa deal/no-deal whirlwind — that it is potential the Johnsons simply aren’t able to decide to mega free-agent offers and possibly that might result in promoting the Giants … I ought to add this now:

By all latest indications, the Giants are literally completely not on the market. In truth, I’ve heard that chairman Greg Johnson just lately acquired at the very least one exterior supply to purchase their controlling stake in the crew and that Johnson turned it down flat.

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(Photo: Brian Babineau / NBAE through Getty Images)

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