MMO Trade Profile: Trevor Megill, RHP

Position: Relief Pitcher
Bats/Throws: L/R
Age: 28 (December 5, 1993)
2022 Pitching
Traditional: 39G, 45 IP, 4.80 ERA, 1,489 WHIP, 4-3 W/L, 49 Ok, 17 BB
Advanced: 81 ERA+, 25 Ok%, 8.7 BB%, 4.91 xERA, 3.29 FIP, 3.52 xFIP, 0.4 fWAR, -0.6 bWAR

Rundown

Were you anticipating a unique brother of somebody who pitched within the mixed no-hitter? Taylor Megill‘s brother, Trevor Megillis an intriguing pitcher in his personal proper and he may simply be the subsequent one Clay Holmes.

Now you may be questioning why a group owned by Steve Cohen must be in search of relievers within the Island of Misfit Toys, to coin a phrase from Peter Brand. The solely relievers the Mets have for 2023 that pitched in 2022 are Drew SmithElieser Hernández, Jeff Brigham, and Edwin Díaz. The Mets will in all probability signal some extra guys however with the intention to rebuild a whole bullpen however they can even have to take some gambles and wager on some arms. Given the Mets have to fill three rotation spots and add a hitter or two, the bullpen’s building will probably have to get inventive.

I do not suppose getting inventive within the bullpen is a nasty factor. The Astros bullpen was anchored by Rafael Montero, Ryan PresslyRyan Stanek, mr Bryan Abreu. Three of those guys have been undervalued relievers on different groups. I don’t suppose it’s a coincidence that the groups that all the time trot out one of the best bullpens yr after yr are groups that determine arms with breakout potential and amass as a lot of these arms as attainable. Relievers may be very risky so having the ability to discover these inefficiencies provides groups an enormous benefit. To consider it one other approach, the Mets might want to determine their Clay Holmes, Rafael Montero, Seranthony Dominguezand Robert Suárez.

Trevor Megill could possibly be the Mets model of these guys listed above. For starters, Megill will get insane vertical motion on each his slider and curveball. Among pitchers with 100 pitches thrown, Megill ranks seventh vertical motion for his curveball and second along with his slider. Megill is just not just like the spin fee grasp Seth Lugo has been however he’s within the eighty fifth percentile for his curveball and within the 92nd percentile along with his fastball. A fastball that additionally averages 98 MPH.

Here are a couple of movies of him making hitters look foolish along with his pitches:

(Courtesy of Baseball Savant)

(Courtesy of Baseball Savant)

(Courtesy of Baseball Savant)

(Courtesy of Baseball Savant)

What makes his spin extra engaging is that there’s a lot of unused lively spin in his profile. Active spin is actually how efficient a pitcher is at utilizing his spin fee to generate pitch motion. Megill does a very good job along with his curveball however the lively spin on his slider is barely 40.5% and his fastball is at 80.7%.

That fastball could possibly be an actual weapon if there may be some extra lively spin behind it, particularly whether it is coming in at 98-100 MPH. The Reds solely had 4 pitchers with a decrease lively spin on their fastball than Megill did so Eric Jagers would have a enjoyable first challenge with the Mets.

Package

How a lot wouldn’t it take to accumulate Megill and the reply is just not a lot. The Twins added Megill on a waiver declare final low season. If the Mets stay affected person, they will in all probability see if the Twins DFA Megill once they add somebody later this low season. Of course, different groups in all probability see that the Megill has breakout potential too and can be calling the Twins about Megill too. I believe they may get Megill in the same deal to how they added Brigham and Hernández. It’s powerful to foretell small offers like this however the Yankees gave up Diego Castillo and Hoy Park for Clay Holmes. Those two had a future worth (as graded by FanGraphs) of 40+ and 40 respectively. According to FanGraphs, two names who would match that degree of worth are Michael Otanez and Dedinel Núñez. I believe that might be the upper finish of what it might take to get Megill. Both are fascinating aid prospects within the minors, however Megill confirmed a extra fascinating repertoire on the MLB degree.

My Opinion

All these numbers are nice however as I normally do in my articles the place I talk about buy-low choices, there may be in all probability a cause he has a profession 6.03 ERA and I acknowledge he may very simply be a DFA candidate by July. I’ll say that I’m not advocating for Megill to be their large remaining acquisition for the bullpen both. I simply consider they’re prepared as a company to show an fascinating arm with good underlying information right into a helpful Major League Pitcher. As I discussed above although, the Mets might want to determine arms which have breakout potential with the intention to change into an excellent bullpen. They have already began that course of by including arms like Elieser Hernández, Jeff Brigham, William WoodsTyler Saucedo, and Stephen Ridings.

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