I do not love that it is a very comparable story to the one we had been telling this time final 12 months, however simply because I do not like telling it once more does not imply it is not true.
The Chicago Cubs have hundreds and hundreds of high quality prospect depth. They may need one of the two or three deepest – in phrases of true prospects – programs in all of baseball. But the cause they will not be roundly thought-about a prime 5 system general is that they’re usually missing the sorts of upper-level, tip-top, big-impact kind prospects – you realize, the ones who present up on consensus prime 100 lists. (The ones we hope are coming as quickly as the midseason updates arrive.)
That’s why, as the prime 100 prospects lists roll out, we’re usually seeing only some Cubs prospects in every, and solely Pete Crow-Armstrong in the prime 50. They do not have these OBVIOUS prime 50 sorts proper now, at at the least in phrases of what the prospects have proven over the final couple of years.
But that does not imply having tons of high quality prospect depth does not nonetheless matter an excellent deal, and it does not imply that the Cubs would not have as many or extra prospects that will fall into that 101 to 200 vary, in comparison with every other org. I’m biased, however I believe they could!
It’s exhausting to generate proof for an announcement like that, since prospects 101 by way of 200 are usually not nationally ranked.
Still, we get somewhat bit of a helpful information level from Baseball America, who supplemented their prime 100 listing with the subsequent 15 prospects who had been closest to creating the listing however did not, after which a quantity of different prospects for every group who had been into account (at the least obtained prime 150 votes).
For the Cubs, who positioned PCA, Brennen Davis, and Kevin Alcántara on the prime 100, Matt Mervis exhibits up in the group of 15 who simply missed:
Matt Mervis, 1B, Cubs: After a standout 2022 and a powerful displaying in the Arizona Fall League, Mervis earned severe consideration for the Top 100 however finally fell simply brief. A nondrafted free agent in 2020, Mervis rebounded from a poor full-season debut in 2021 to hit the third-most residence runs in the minor leagues in 2022. Across three ranges Mervis hit 36 residence runs whereas slashing .309/.379/. 605 over 137 video games. He pairs above-average bat-to-ball abilities (76% contact price) with plus energy (105 mph ninetieth percentile) and has the profile of an on a regular basis power-hitting first baseman.
Among the different Cubs prospects who had been thought-about: Righty Ben Brown, shortstop Cristian Hernández, righty Cade Horton, and righty Hayden Wesneski.
So that is 5 complete Cubs prospects who had been in consideration for the prime 100, however did not fairly make it. Only the A’s (6) and Brewers (7) had extra (though I’d level out that the A’s (1) and Brewers (2) had fewer precise prime 100s than the Cubs).
To make sure, a quantity of different organizations additionally had 5 prospects in the “into account” group for the prime 100, so I’m not saying this PROVES something particularly about the Cubs’ farm system. Moreover, lots of the Cubs’ high quality depth might be even additional down the hypothetical rankings listing – I suppose I may perceive why guys like Daniel Palencia and Jordan Wicks and Porter Hodge and Alexander Canario and Owen Caissie and whoever else weren’t listed as into account in that prime 150 vary… however they’re excellent prospects, and the Cubs have TONS of them.
Anyway, the level right here is just that the Cubs as soon as once more have an especially deep farm system. This information level helps that place.
Now it is time to hope extra of them escape in to sure-fire prime 100 sorts, whereas others merely skip that step completely and are available up and contribute. A man like Christopher Morel was by no means a prime 100 prospect. Neither was Justin Steele.