NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Tuesday, Jan. 10): No Shortage of Value Plays

Tuesday includes a seven-game slate beginning at 7 pm ET.

Let’s dive into some of the highest performs on the slate utilizing the FantasyLabs instruments and metrics.

Also, remember that for large-field tournaments, you may make the most of our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create as much as 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder for those who prefer to hand-build your lineups.

Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings could change all through the day after this text is posted. The NBA DFS panorama modifications shortly.

Consult the NBA Player Models instantly for any updates as we get nearer to lock. Use the PrizePicks promo code LABS to get a $100 sign-up bonus for NBA participant props.

NBA DFS Point Guard Picks

Stud

There’s an opportunity that Joel Embiid might be pressured to overlook his fourth straight sport when the 76ers tackle the Pistons. He’s at present questionable with a foot damage, however the 76ers ought to be capable of take care of enterprise even with out Embiid on Tuesday. They’re at present listed as 12.5-point favorites, and the Pistons rank twenty ninth in defensive effectivity. Ultimately, it ought to shock nobody if the crew holds out their star huge man for another evening.

In that situation, James Harden would turn into one of the highest studs on the slate. He’s elevated his utilization charge by a team-high +5.8% with Embiid off the ground this season, leading to a median of 1.45 DraftKings factors per minute. He racked up a triple-double and 57.75 DraftKings factors towards the Pistons on Sunday, and he did it in simply 28.1 minutes. Harden sometimes performs nearer to 38 minutes in aggressive contests, so he has considerably extra upside if Embiid is out once more on Tuesday.


Value

Killian Hayes has began to point out some of the promise that brought about him to be the No. 7 picks within the 2020 NBA Draft. He’s taken full benefit of the damage Cade Cunningham, and he is taken his sport to a different degree just lately. He’s averaged 1.01 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, and he is scored a minimum of 33.5 DraftKings factors in 5 of his previous six video games. That consists of 47.5 DraftKings factors in his final outing, so he supplies a wonderful mixture of ground and ceiling. He’s approach underpriced on DraftKings, the place his $5,700 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 99%.


Fast Break

Gabe Vincent is one other potential worth choice at level guard. He’s priced at simply $3,300 on DraftKings, and he ought to see a pleasant spike in taking part in time given the Heat’s damage scenario. They’re going to be with out Kyle Lowry, Tyler Heroand so forth Bam Adebayo, and Vincent has elevated his utilization charge by +5.4% with all three gamers off the ground. He’s at present projected for 33 minutes in our NBA Models, and gamers with comparable salaries and minute projections have traditionally averaged a Plus/Minus of +5.43 (per the Trends device).

Damian Lillard stands out as a stable buy-low choice on FanDuel. His price ticket has decreased by round -$1,000 over his previous 10 video games, and his $9,100 price ticket comes with a Bargain Rating of 92%. His 10 Pro Trends are tied for second-most on the place, and the Blazers’ implied crew whole of 118.25 ranks fourth on the slate.

NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks

Stud

Donovan Mitchell revenge sport? He’ll face his previous crew in Utah, and the Jazz have been a particularly favorable matchup for fantasy functions this season. They rank twenty sixth in defensive effectivity and eighth in tempo, so the Cavs have a bit extra scoring potential than traditional.

Most of the injury towards the Jazz has been accomplished on the inside, however they have been shredded from behind the 3-point line of late. They’ve allowed 14.7 3-pointers over their previous three video games, which is tied for the second-most within the league. Mitchell has been the Cavs’ high 3-point menace this season, main the crew in 3-pointers made and tried per sport.

Mitchell is a very interesting choice on FanDuel, the place his $8,900 wage comes with a Bargain Rating of 96%.


Value

There are loads of robust values ​​at guard on Tuesday, however Duane Washington Jr. is one of the most effective. The Suns are completely decimated in the mean time, with Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Payneand so forth Cameron Johnson all sidelined with accidents.

Washington posted an absurd 42.6% utilization charge with all 4 gamers out of the lineup on Sunday, racking up 31.25 DraftKings factors over 25 minutes. He’s projected for the same workload on Tuesday, and Washington has averaged 1.32 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month. He’s succesful of doing lots of injury in restricted taking part in time.


Fast Break

Max Strus is one other potential beneficiary for the Heat on Tuesday. He’s projected for 35 minutes in our NBA Models, and he is averaged 0.81 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month. With Lowry, Adebayo, and Herro off the ground, it would not be a shock if he improves his per-minute effectivity on this spot.

Paul George is at present coping with a hamstring damage, in the meantime Reggie Jackson performed simply 7.7 minutes on Sunday. That opened up loads of minutes Terence Mann, who responded with 34.0 DraftKings factors. Mann has averaged 0.87 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, so he has loads of upside at $4,000 if he sees a comparable workload on Tuesday.

NBA DFS Small Forward Picks

Stud

Kawhi Leonard figures to be the largest beneficiary from the absence of George. Leonard was eased into motion by the Clippers this season, however he is again to taking part in a full workload. He racked up just below 38.5 minutes in his final contest, and Leonard is succesful of performing some critical injury with that a lot taking part in time. He’s posted a median Plus/Minus of +3.50 over his previous 10 video games on FanDuel, together with 49.4 FanDuel factors vs. the Hawks on Sunday.

Leonard has been priced up aggressively on DraftKings, however he is affordable at $8,400 on FanDuel. It ends in a Bargain Rating of 90%, albeit in a tricky matchup vs. the Mavericks.


Value

Hamidou Diallo has been free of the depths of the Pistons’ bench just lately. Diallo is a fantasy favourite given his capability to rack up fantasy factors shortly, and he was an enormous issue for the Pistons at occasions final 12 months. Diallo has picked up proper the place he left off, racking up 1.15 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month.

He noticed a major bump in taking part in time on Sunday, racking up 27.3 minutes vs. the 76ers. He responded with 24.75 DraftKings factors, and Diallo has scored a minimum of that a lot in every of his previous three video games with a minimum of 20 minutes. He’s projected for 26 minutes on Tuesday, and Diallo has traditionally averaged a Plus/Minus of +4.08 with a comparable wage and minute projection.


Fast Break

Mikal Bridges is not sometimes often called a lot of a fantasy choice. He performs a ton of minutes for the Suns, however he is a comparatively low-usage participant. That stated, he could don’t have any selection however to tackle a bigger position on Tuesday. Not solely are the Suns already shorthanded, however Deandre Ayton, Landry Shametand so forth Torrey Craig can be questionable. That leaves Bridges as mainly the final man standing.

Lauri Markkanen may also get an opportunity towards his previous crew on Tuesday, and like Mitchell, he has thrived in a brand new atmosphere. He’s simply posted the most effective fantasy season of his profession, and his $8,200 wage on FanDuel is extraordinarily affordable. It ends in a Bargain Rating of 99%, and Markkanen has averaged a Plus/Minus of +2.33 with a comparable wage this season.

NBA DFS Power Forward Picks

Stud

Jimmy Butler stands out because the clear high stud on Tuesday’s slate. He’s been out and in of the lineup this season, however he is wholesome in the intervening time. The Heat did not even checklist him on their damage report for Tuesday, which is mainly inconceivable for the Heat. I’m fairly positive they’ve listed their ball boy as questionable a pair of occasions this season.

Butler has been efficient when on the ground this season, and he unsurprisingly sees an enormous enhance with Adebayo, Herro, and Lowry off the ground. He would not see the largest enhance from a utilization perspective, however he will increase his help charge by +10.8%. He’s averaged 1.33 DraftKings factors per minute in that situation, and he has extra upside than traditional towards the Thunder. They’ve performed on the second-fastest tempo within the league this season, so it is a vital pace-up spot for the Heat.


Value

The Pistons are taking part in with out three of their high frontcourt choices in the mean time. Bojan Bogdanovic, Jalen Durenand so forth Marvin Bagley are all coping with accidents, opening up for some further taking part in time Isaiah Stewart. Stewart logged greater than 35 minutes of their final contest, and he responded with 40.75 DraftKings factors vs. the 76ers. That type of manufacturing feels repeatable. Stewart has averaged 0.93 DraftKings factors per minute this season, and the 76ers frontcourt could be an exploitable matchup if Embiid is dominated out once more.


Fast Break

Pascal Siakam has had an underappreciated fantasy season. He’s posted some huge numbers in Toronto, and he routinely performs near 40 minutes per evening. His common of 1.26 FanDuel factors per minute ranks first on the place on Tuesday’s slate, and that is a fairly interesting mixture. His $9,500 wage on FanDuel comes with a Bargain Rating of 95%, and he leads the place with 13 Pro Trends. He additionally should not command a ton of possession, so he is a really fascinating pivot for GPPs.

Haywood Highsmith is one other potential worth choice for the Heat. He’s at present projected for 33 minutes in our NBA Models at simply $3,100 on DraftKings. That’s a ton of taking part in time for somebody priced basically on the minimal.

NBA DFS Center Picks

Stud

If Ayton is ready to swimsuit up vs. the Warriors, he stands out as an impressive choice vs. the Warriors. He’s been a stable supply of worth just lately, scoring a minimum of 40.25 DraftKings factors in three straight video games. That consists of his final contest, regardless of taking part in lower than half-hour in a brutal matchup vs. the Cavaliers.

Ayton is at all times essentially the most aggressive participant on the offensive finish, however he would not actually have a selection Tuesday given the crew’s present roster. He’s elevated his utilization charge by +2.5% with Paul, Booker, and Payne off the ground this season, leading to a median of 1.40 DraftKings factors per minute. That represents a large improve from his common of 1.18 general this season.


Value

Orlando Robinson is arguably the highest worth choice of the day on DraftKings. He’s priced at simply $3,100, and there is a good likelihood he handles most of the Heat’s middle minutes. Dewayne Dedmon is possible, however the crew has restricted him to lower than 10 minutes in two video games since returning to the lineup. It’s very potential he is on a minute restriction, so Robinson might be the first beneficiary of Adebayo’s absence.

He’s at present projected for about half-hour in our NBA Models, and Robinson has been a succesful fantasy producer this season. He’s averaged 0.96 DraftKings factors per minute over the previous month, so he is an absolute steal vs. the Thunder.


Fast Break

There’s loads of worth and never a ton of studs on this slate, which makes Embiid fascinating if he is in a position to swimsuit up. Most DFS gamers will possible keep away from the stud huge man in his first sport again, however there aren’t a ton of gamers who can match his upside.

Ivica Zubac performed greater than 37.5 minutes within the Clippers’ final contest, and when he performs that a lot, he has an incredible ceiling. He’s averaged just below a fantasy level per minute this season, and he unsurprisingly racked up 46.5 DraftKings factors in his final sport. His minutes are extraordinarily unstable, however his upside makes him price a take a look at $5,200.

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