Playoff fantasy football rankings – The Washington Post


The humorous factor about placing collectively an NFL playoffs fantasy football squad — assuming, as we’re right here, that your roster is locked by way of the whole thing of the postseason — is that your finest path to victory is by guessing proper on which groups will get to the Super Bowl.

That makes this a really completely different train from common season fantasy football leagues, in which you’ll anticipate completely different gamers to compete in roughly the identical variety of video games. In that case, you’re merely — okay, it is by no means all that easy — attempting to determine which participant’s anticipated vary of outcomes you like, factoring in perceived expertise ranges and group environments.

In the playoffs, some drafted or chosen gamers will compete in only one recreation, whereas others will get as many as 4 probabilities to take the sector. That discrepancy has a significant impact on what number of fantasy factors they are going to rating.

Analysis: The probably groups to succeed in Super Bowl LVII

The problem, after all, is that nobody is aware of which groups will advance or how far. Historically, although, the 2 highest-seeded groups in every convention have reached the Super Bowl at a lot higher charges than squads seeded third or decrease. The rub there, for this train, is that almost all fantasy codecs both will not enable or will make it very tough so that you can seize a bunch of gamers from anyone roster. You’ll in all probability should determine a few decrease-seeded groups that you just suppose can advance at the least one spherical, so that you get two or extra video games from their gamers.

My cash this yr is on the fifth-seeded Dallas Cowboys and the sixth-seeded New York Giants, who appear to be good bets to win their NFC first-spherical matchups towards the No. 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the No. 3 Minnesota Vikings. To use one nicely-regarded knowledge level, by Football Outsiders’ weighted DVOA (which takes into consideration latest kind whereas evaluating each play from each group to a baseline customary), the Cowboys rank seventh and the Giants 18th — whereas the Bucs are twenty fifth and the Vikings are a woeful twenty eighth.

The NFL playoffs are set. Here’s what it’s good to know.

The analytics-pushed web site’s weighted DVOA additionally has the San Francisco 49ers and Buffalo Bills ranked first and second and nicely forward of the competitors, which jibes properly with my sense that the second-seeded groups are poised to make deep postseason runs. Did you realize that because the NFL went to a playoff seeding system for the 1975 season, just one Super Bowl (the 2018 season’s matchup of the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams) has featured a showdown between No. 2 seeds? I’d say it is excessive time for that to occur once more, and the Bills, particularly, would profit from the truth that, ought to they attain the AFC championship recreation, they’re assured of enjoying at residence or at a impartial website.

Those predictions shall be baked a bit into my rankings, as is a lean towards 49ers and Bills gamers over their counterparts from the highest-seeded Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs as a result of San Francisco and Buffalo, missing a primary-spherical bye, have an opportunity to play an additional recreation. Also of notice: I’m defaulting to half-PPR scoring. Now on (lastly) with the rankings!

Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa is out, and it’s unclear whether or not Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson will play. Even if Jackson does, I’d be involved that he could be at an elevated danger of exiting early. On high of that, their backups, Teddy Bridgewater and Tyler Huntley, are coping with accidents. Those conditions negatively have an effect on the outlook for the Dolphins’ and Ravens’ different ability place gamers.

2. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs

6. Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars

8. Justin Herbert, Chargers

11. Kirk Cousins, Vikings

12. Lamar Jackson, Ravens

14. Tyler Huntley, Ravens

15. Skylar Thompson, Dolphins

16. Teddy Bridgewater, Dolphins

17. Anthony Brown, Ravens

Christian McCaffrey is an apparent best choice right here, however Jerick McKinnon forward of Austin Ekeler? I’m simply that rather more assured in McKinnon enjoying a number of video games, and Kansas City actually leaned on him in final season’s playoffs.

1. Christian McCaffrey, 49ers

3. Jerick McKinnon, Chiefs

4. Austin Ekeler, Chargers

5. Saquon Barkley, Giants

10. Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys

11. Travis Etienne, Jaguars

12. Devin Singletary, Bills

13. Elijah Mitchell, 49ers

15. Leonard Fournette, Buccaneers

16. Kenneth Walker III, Seahawks

18. Rachaad White, Buccaneers

19. Jeff Wilson Jr., Dolphins

20. Kenneth Gainwell, Eagles

21. Samaje Perine, Bengals

24. Raheem Mostert, Dolphins

25. Joshua Kelley, Chargers

Minnesota can actually stick it to me right here, however given my playoff forecast, I simply cannot see putting the uber-productive Justin Jefferson any greater, not to mention the likes of Adam Thielen and KJ Osborn.

2. Ja’Marr Chase, Chiefs

6. Justin Jefferson, Vikings

10. Keenan Allen, Chargers

11. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs

12. Mike Evans, Buccaneers

13. Chris Godwin, Buccaneers

15. Kadarius Toney, Chiefs

16. Christian Kirk, Jaguars

17. Tyreek Hill, Dolphins

18. Mike Williams, Chargers

20. Tyler Lockett, Seahawks

22. Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins

23. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chiefs

26. Isaiah Hodgins, Giants

27. Adam Thielen, Vikings

29. Mecole Hardman, Chiefs

30. Darius Slayton, Giants

31. Michael Gallup, Cowboys

32. Demarcus Robinson, Ravens

33. Russell Gage, Buccaneers

34. Joshua Palmer, Chargers

36. Marvin Jones, Jaguars

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Travis Kelce towers above this group, with George Kittle additionally deserving of his personal tier earlier than a pointy drop to the remainder.

3. Dallas Goedert, Eagles

5. Dalton Schultz, Cowboys

6. TJ Hockenson, Vikings

10. Gerald Everett, Chargers

11. Cade Otton, Buccaneers

12. Daniel Bellinger, Giants

13. Mike Gesicki, Dolphins

14. Isaiah Likely, Ravens

I’m lumping these positions collectively as a result of, on this train, the worth of each strongly derives from what number of postseason appearances you suppose they will make. Sorry, Justin Tucker and guys named Jason.

4. Chiefs/Harrison Butker

5. Bengals/Evan McPherson

7. Jaguars/Riley Patterson

8. Chargers/Cameron Dicker

11. Buccaneers/Ryan Succop

13. Dolphins/Jason Sanders

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