I’ve to say, Week 1 delivered on all my anticipation of normal season fantasy soccer motion. The video games have been nice; we had upsets, we had blowouts, we had a tie and, for higher or worse, kickers have been a serious storyline. Yet, whereas our total expectations of Week 1 could have been met, sure gamers undoubtedly exceeded or failed to meet their projected fantasy output.
Click right here for a primer on a number of the causes we could battle to interpret these deviations, particularly within the aftermath of the first week of fantasy soccer. Here are a number of the gamers whose stat strains shocked me, and what I feel we will count on going ahead.
Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
Let’s begin with a optimistic. People have been pretty divided on Barkley this offseason, however up to now, it appears just like the believers (invoiceievers?) have been proper. It appeared an unimaginable activity, however former Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Brain Daboll appears to have the Giants heading in the right direction.
Barkley was THE main issue within the upset of final yr’s No. 1 seed within the AFC, Tennessee. He noticed 18 dashing makes an attempt and 7 targets; elite utilization in sport No. 1. His 9.1 YPC are most likely not sustainable, however you may roll confidently with Barkley subsequent week vs. the Panthers, a group that was simply carved up by Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in Week 1.
Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans
Pierce was a go-to man for Zero- and Hero-RB drafters this yr. After he earned beginning reps (and heaps of reward) within the preseason, the supposed clear lead again for the Texans was something however in Week 1. Rex Burkhead out-carried him 14-11 and out-targeted him, 8-1. Perhaps essentially the most damning stat is the snap share: 28 % for Pierce and 72 % for Burkhead.
Before we throw within the towel on the undoubtedly gifted rookie, we must always think about the context. The Texans have been aggressive on this sport regardless of being the most important underdogs of the weekend, in the end taking part in to a 20-20 attract additional time. The Colts have been final season’s finest run protection, permitting the fewest fantasy factors to opposing backs. It’s value noting that regardless of the upper quantity, Burkhead was no simpler than Pierce, as each guys averaged round 3.0 YPC and neither scored nor even obtained a purple zone look (OJ Howard was the one participant with a purple zone goal and he scored on it).
Bottom line, I’m going to proceed to roster Pierce, nevertheless it may be a number of weeks earlier than he can begin with Denver, Chicago and the LA Chargers up subsequent.
Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons
I by no means had plenty of religion in Atlanta for fantasy functions, besides Cordarrelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts. Maybe Drake London was the actual shock right here (7 targets, 5 catches, 74 yards) after not training a lot main up to this sport, however Pitts was universally began and a serious disappointment to fantasy footballers all over the place.
Although it did not present up in a stat line, Pitts was essentially the most concerned participant on the group, main them in snaps and tying London in goal share (22 %, seven targets every). One obtrusive difficulty, nevertheless, is Pitts’ common depth of goal was 2.7 yards (Marcus Mariota averaged 6.5 yards per try total). Pitts is an exceptional athlete, however he is not turning water into wine or coal into diamonds or no matter. I’m not super-excited about his prospects subsequent week towards the Rams, nevertheless it’s too quickly to quit on Pitts.
Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears
In a gross-weather sport that the Bears in some way managed to win — or actually, the 49ers managed to lose — Kmet was a non-factor. No tight finish caught a ball, and Ryan Griffin really noticed two targets to Kmet’s one. However, this was not a day to throw the ball; Justin Fields threw solely 17 occasions, finishing solely eight of his move makes an attempt.
I’m dissatisfied, however subsequent up is Green Bay, Houston and the NY Giants. Tight ends are all the time going to be up and down, but when Kmet does not see a fantasy spike in a number of of those upcoming video games, and/or the Bears passing offense stays this depressed (lowest move proportion in Week 1, 33.9 % ), I’ll throw within the towel on this gifted tight finish.
Some persons are simply higher for actual soccer than fantasy soccer.
Quick Hits: The Facts
Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys
I’m anxious. With Dak Prescott now set to miss vital time, this offense goes to sputter extra typically than it in any other case would have. Although, to be trustworthy, Prescott did not look to be in sync with CeeDee Lamb at any level within the sport anyway. Elliott did common over 5 yards per carry towards an excellent run protection (a significantly better quantity than Tony Pollard), however the group was by no means in a position to get him a red-zone contact as they struggled to transfer the ball all evening lengthy.
Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders
I’m happy. I used to be into Dotson for DFS functions this weekend, and he was top-of-the-line worth performs on Yahoo. He did not see as many targets as his teammates Curtis Samuel (11) p Anthony Gibson (8), however he scored twice on his 5 targets and two of his three catches confirmed off his contested-catch abilities.
Dotson makes for an attention-grabbing pickup given how good it’s Carson Wentz appeared on Sunday. The group made an enormous deal over Dotson within the preseason and it appears like that is one case of coach-speak we will purchase.
Quick Hits: The Flukes
Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers
He’s going to co-exist with AJ Dillonlittle doubt about it, however he could have his large days, particularly with the state of the receiving corps Aaron Rodgerswho simply appeared disgusted for many of the day.
Devin DuVernay, Baltimore Ravens
Five Ravens had at the least 4 targets Sunday, however solely Duvernay caught 100% of his 4 and scored on two of them. He was a scorching prospect and has the velocity to stretch the sector, so this won’t be his solely fluky-good sport of the season, however will probably be exhausting or unimaginable to belief him each week.
OJ Howard, Houston Texans
I’ve liked this man. I actually have rooted for him to catch on and be the participant for fantasy I consider he could possibly be. He lastly did it in Week 1, regardless of being on the sector for under a fraction of the offensive snaps and operating solely six routes. Both of his targets, one within the purple zone, have been caught for touchdowns.
This will not be an every-week incidence. Howard has performed for some excellent coaches and there’s a cause he hasn’t been in a position to carve out a dynamic position regardless of his first-round draft capital. I do not know what the reason being, and I hope I’m incorrect about Howard, however this efficiency screams fluke to me.