5 issues I care about
I’m embarrassed for the Cowboys’ receivers
I had somebody ask me if CeeDee Lamb is a legit No. 1 large receiver in fantasy and actuality. I feel so, however the reality is, it would not actually matter when the remaining of the fellows on the sphere may be No. 5 and no. 6 WRs…possibly.
Dennis Houston, Simi Fehoko, Noah Brown; who are these guys? That’s not a severe operation.
It would not make a distinction how good of a receiver Lamb is as a result of the protection can squat on his brief and intermediate routes when the surface gamers are no risk in any respect. You may see the Bucs doing that every one Sunday night time. Lamb dealt with 11 targets however had simply 1.9 yards of separation on these seems to be. Those performs turn into so low-percentage like that when the protection would not respect your skill to hit downfield passes. The different Dallas receivers cannot separate or win contested passes.
We knew large receiver may be a sore spot for Dallas with Michael Gallup destined to overlook time to begin the season nevertheless it’s solely gotten worse as time has gone on. James Washington’s harm created a depth challenge and now, apparently, third-round rookie Jalen Tolbert (wholesome scratch) is not able to step up.
But your plan should not fully collapse when the likes of Washington get harm or a Day 2 rookie is not able to play immediately.
If that sends you off observe, you did not actually have a plan in any respect.
Don’t neglect, they’re additionally taking part in with a hand tied behind their again with the offensive line points additionally they did not correctly design for. The Cowboys clearly did not have a Plan B prepared for tonight. They simply ran their usual performs with a very depleted supporting solid. We noticed the outcomes.
Oh and now Dak Prescott will miss a number of weeks; Jerry Jones confirmed his beginning quarterback will want hand surgical procedure.
You cannot script a extra troubling begin for the Dallas Cowboys 2022 season.
Saquon Barkley is again
If Saquon Barkley will get the kind of utilization he noticed in Week 1 all season lengthy, he might be a top-five participant in fantasy soccer. interval
Barkley ran a team-high 21 routes and absorbed 33.3 % of the targets. He additionally dealt with 78% of the running again carries for the Giants. He scored a landing and likewise slammed in a two-point conversion on a designed popgun cross for him.
It was unbelievably encouraging to see, particularly in his first recreation of the season. Barkley was the engine of this Giants offense.
The relaxation of the offense, nonetheless, is a bit of a large number. Kadarius Toney has fallen approach down the depth chart and ran simply three routes. Daniel Jones ranked twenty eighth out of 28 quarterbacks in EPA per dropback heading into Sunday Night Football. Sterling Shepard made a surprising return after a late-season 2021 Achilles tear and ran as a key participant whereas scoring a protracted landing. however that was the one different shining gentle.
Despite all that, Barkley regarded like a league-winner in fantasy. And for so long as he is wholesome, that should not change.
AJ Brown shines in Eagles debut
It was a banner week all the way in which round for big-name large receivers that modified groups this offseason. The most encouraging efficiency was that of AJ Brown.
Questions surrounded nearly all of the receivers who swapped jerseys however none extra consequential than the topic of Brown’s quantity. At least, that was the narrative when he was traded to Philadelphia. Then we obtained stories from the Eagles’ coaching camp Jalen Hurts was laser-focused on concentrating on his new No. 1 wideout.
Week 1 offered a convincing endorsement of Brown’s utilization.
Brown maintained an absurd 44.8% goal share in opposition to the Lions. He ran a route on 39 of Hurts’ 44 dropbacks. It was obvious from the leap that the now-Eagles receiver was about to have a large recreation. Brown had essentially the most receiving yards within the first half of a workforce’s debut by any non-rookie since at the very least 1991, per NFL Research.
Hurts seems to be like he’ll end the week top-five in EPA per dropback, regardless of a sub-60% completion charge. If Brown stays wholesome, maintains this type of quantity and Hurts continues to play effectively, then the receiver goes to push for a 1,400-yard season. He’s that proficient.
Washington’s WRs are so underrated
The Washington Commanders have a very good large receiver trio.
Curtis Samuel was a revelation immediately. He completed with a team-high 26.8% goal share and picked up 5 catches on 5 targets and two rushes on Washington’s first two drives. It’s clear he’s going to be featured for this workforce.
Jahan Dotson operated forward of Samuel, as anticipated, running 40 routes to his 36. The rookie and the veteran each break up time within the slot. That’s a good way to maximise them each. Dotson scored two spectacular touchdowns, one of which was the game-winner. His expertise at plucking the ball away from his body had been completely on show.
Terry McLaurin fell behind each in targets however ran essentially the most routes on the workforce and scored on a deep route. I doubt Anthony Gibson goes to see eight targets fairly often so do not be involved about McLaurin’s workload. He’s nonetheless the clear No. 1 wideout.
The offense will at all times be murky with Carson Wentz on the helm. He had his justifiable share of typical Wentz errors on this win. But these three guys are going to have huge weeks and might be the driving pressure of the offense; the entire offense’s ceiling is larger as a result of of these guys. McLaurin is a robust WR2 in fantasy and each Dotson and Samuel must be rostered.
Justin Jefferson was value all of the hype
Justin Jefferson was steamed as much as the very high of the large receiver board for some analysts and it was extraordinarily uncommon to see him any decrease than WR2 general. It was a daring transfer however one he deserved.
It was nice to see him go away little doubt in Week 1.
The Packers opted to not dedicate particular consideration to Jefferson and so they ended up bleeding manufacturing to the star wideout. Jefferson dealt with an absurd 72.8% of the Vikings’ air yards. In addition to working downfield, he additionally averaged over 9 yards after the catch per reception. He can win in any respect ranges with elite-level separation and is now being actively schemed into favorable seems to be. Jefferson did not even lead the workforce in slot snaps, regardless of all of the speak of the “Cooper Kupp position.”
Jefferson would not want the Kupp position.
This goes to be a really particular season for him. He may be our first 2,000-yard receiver.
5 Things I do not care about
Judging the non-fully loaded Bucs passing recreation
Much just like the Cowboys, the Buccaneers knew their large receiver unit was going to come back into 2022 a bit compromised. Unlike the CowboysTampa Bay remained financially versatile sufficient to have a number of choices to throw out there.
The Bucs in all probability did not plan to have Julio Jones run a route on 76% of the dropbacks in Week 1. They definitely did not wish to have Breshad Perriman dealing with 28.2% of the workforce’s air yards. Those fallback choices are fairly good, nonetheless, when you think about what different NFC hopeful contenders like Dallas or Green Bay are coping with in the intervening time.
Tom Brady did not look excellent as the highest receivers shuffled in and out of the lineup and the offensive line suffered extra accidents. However, I’m withholding judgment on this offense till we see them at full energy. And with the passing recreation struggling, Leonard Fournette stepped as much as deal with 23 touches and put up 127 yards.
At some level, the Bucs will string collectively a full recreation Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones and Russell Gage. At least, we hope they may. When that second comes, we’ll have a greater understanding of what the Bucs might be as an offense.
Any remaining worries about Amon-Ra St. Brown’s workload
Amon-Ra St. Brown had a 32.4% goal share in Week 1, main his workforce by an honest hole. I wish to be aware a bunch of dudes did not have to be harm for this to occur as we speak.
The proficient rookie receiver ran a route on 95% of Jared Goff’s dropbacks No shock, he led the workforce in slot snaps however by no means left the sphere regardless of formation.
Almost any case in opposition to St. Brown heading into 2022 simply did not maintain a lot weight. Simply put: You do not do what he did to finish his rookie season until you’ll be able to play. The strengths of his recreation simply overlap so effectively with Goff’s preferences as a passer. He holds an necessary position on this offense and he was not going to lose the taking part in time he earned earlier than his huge fantasy breakout within the final month of 2021.
These huge slots who smash in opposition to zones over the center might be alpha receivers with the NFL as an entire shifting to extra zone-heavy defenses. Just take a look at Cooper Kupp final season for proof.
St. Brown may not keep a 30% goal share all season; that will be aggressive. However, if he even is available in at 26-28% he’ll smash his fantasy ADP and push to catch 100 balls.
Don’t neglect about him when rating the highest breakout receivers within the league.
Ja’Marr Chase’s regression
Anytime somebody does what Ja’Marr Chase did final 12 months on deep targets, there’ll at all times be the regression dialogue. However, it would not matter when a participant is as good as Chase is.
Chase was superior as a rookie within the 2021 season. He regarded even higher in Week 1 of the 2022 season.
The participant we noticed in opposition to the Steelers regarded like a real do-it-all participant who can win on each route and in each section of the place. That’s the participant we noticed in sectors of his rookie season. Now, he seems to be like he is able to put all of it collectively.
Chase dealt with 30.25% of the workforce’s objectives. No one else cleared with 20% Tee Higgins absent for many of the sport. The Bengals do not get again into this recreation with out making Chase the centerpiece of their offensive universe. He is the definition of a difference-maker.
Where-Diontae Johnson Steelers WRs
Steelers large receiver Diontae Johnson’s quantity was usually mentioned as a product of Ben Roethlisberger.
Well, what have you learnt, that did not maintain as much as the take a look at of actuality.
With a brand new quarterback underneath middle, Johnson nonetheless maintained his heavy quantity (32.4% of the workforce targets). That’s as a result of he is good at soccer.
The relaxation of the Steelers’ distribution was a bit cloudier. Chase Claypool performed essentially the most snaps and lined up within the slot on 89% of his snaps. That’s the precise position for him however introduced him simply six short-area seems to be. The thrilling rookie George Pickens ran the third-most routes on the workforce.
The Bengals’ protection performed effectively however the Steelers’ offensive line stays a large challenge Mitchell Trubisky hardly seems to be like he is about to expertise a profession revival. The ceiling on this unit is not nice, so we actually aren’t focused on taking part in anybody past Johnson in fantasy anyway.
Any laying-the-hammer takes from CHI vs SF
The situations in Chicago had been hideous main into the sport. Guys had been running in pre-game warmup with little puddles splashing of their wake. It did not get higher; frankly, it turned a lot worse late within the contest.
I do know of us wish to write the e-book on Justin Fields and Trey Lance as rapidly as potential however the whole lot from this recreation must be taken with a large grain of salt. Each of them had their moments — particularly Fields — however he might need simply gotten the very best breaks within the timing of the rain. You do have to offer him credit score for creating huge gaps within the 49ers’ secondary along with his mobility and rocketing a couple of sturdy deep throws.
We’ll know much more about these two younger passers (principally Lance) once we see them in higher situations. This was a large number.