ECR stands for “Expert Consensus Ranking,” which implies the common ranks of the fantasy soccer business and is usually much like ADP (which differs from site-to-site). This will be an ongoing positional collection highlighting some large variations between ECR and my very own ranks. We proceed the collection with a take a look at the tight ends.
Players who should go higher/later: Quarterback
Tight Ends I like greater than consensus
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (ECR = TE6 vs. DDD = TE4)
Schultz cannot match the athleticism of different elite tight ends within the league, however his advantageous scenario makes him one in all fantasy’s most dear gamers at his place. Schultz completed as fantasy’s No. 3 tight finish final season and will now see an enormous enhance in targets with Amari Cooper and Cedric Wilson gone Michael Gallup unlikely to be prepared to start out the season following knee surgical procedure and with James Washington and Blake Jarwin each severely damage. Schultz ran routes at a higher share than Mark Andrews after Jarwin was sidelined from Week 9 final yr.
The Cowboys led the NFL in scoring final season, and Schultz abruptly seems prefer it Dak Prescott‘s second learn on most performs. With a extremely favorable wanting schedule, Schultz is primed for an enormous fantasy season. I rank him forward of Darren Waller and George Kittlewho each go rounds earlier.
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Albert Okwuegbunam, Denver Broncos (ECR = TE16 vs. DDD = TE11)
Albert O is a 24-year-old with actually elite exercise and underlying statistics metrics who will now be catching passes from Russell Wilson (the QB reportedly loves his new tight finish). Okwuegbunam quietly has earned the fourth-highest goal per route price amongst TEs over the past two seasons, when he is additionally been one in all solely six to common greater than 2.0 yards per route run. With Noah Fant traded to Seattle, and Wilson changing an terrible QB scenario, Albert O is about to see much more targets with a lot higher high quality.
There’s been some buzz in regards to the rookie Greg Dulcichhowever he is nowhere close to the athlete, and notice UCLA has helped produce some large numbers from in any other case mediocre tight finish prospects. Moreover, the season-ending lack of Tim Patrick opens up much more alternatives for Okwuegbunam, who’s going to smash whereas being an enormous a part of Denver’s offense this season.
Austin Hooper, Tennessee Titans (ECR = TE24 vs. DDD = TE15)
Hooper is 2 seasons faraway from recording 75 catches for 787 yards and 6 touchdowns over simply 13 video games with the Falcons. His final two down years can simply be excused whereas taking part in in Cleveland, and now he joins a Tennessee offense that has essentially the most vacated targets and air yards in the complete NFL. Meanwhile, since Ryan Tannehill began in 2019, 24% of his targets have gone to tight ends, together with 25 of his 76 TD passes.
With Derrick Henry coming into an unsure part of his profession and the Titans projected to be round .500, all of it units up for an actual good season from Hooper.
Tight Ends I like lower than consensus
Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins (ECR = TE13 vs. DDD = TE19)
Gesicki is competing with two extensive receivers in newcomer Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle who tasks to be among the many league leaders in goal price. If that is not worrisome sufficient on an offense the place questions stay surrounding the quarterback (Tua Tagovailoa’s sturdiness if nothing else), Gesicki’s altering function below Miami’s new teaching workers may be much more regarding. Mike McDaniel did not like to make use of tight ends in San Francisco the way in which Gesicki was employed final yr, and his function as a blocker is about to be elevated. Whatever the rationale, Gesicki’s targets are about to go method down, but he is curiously nonetheless being drafted as a top-15 fantasy tight finish.
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Hunter Henry, New England Patriots (ECR = TE14 vs. DDD = TE18)
Henry left Justin Herbert, noticed 18 fewer targets regardless of taking part in three extra video games, but he by some means completed as a top-10 fantasy tight finish because of 9 touchdowns final season. Put in another way, Henry by some means caught 41% of Mac Jones‘ landing passes regardless of a 14.5% goal share. New England added DeVante Parker through the offseason, and John Smith reportedly seems significantly better throughout Year 2 in New England. It’s all a recipe for a letdown season from Henry, who’s being drafted as a top-15 fantasy tight finish.
Noah Fant, Seattle Seahawks (ECR = TE17 vs. DDD = TE25)
With Gene Smith the clear favourite to take over for Russell Wilson in Seattle, Fant goes to have a tough time placing up large stats whereas additionally competing for targets with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Moreover, he now performs for an extraordinarily slow-paced Seahawks offense that ran basically two video games value of fewer performs final season than the NFL common. Draft Mo Alie-Cox even later as an alternative.
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