Trea Turner free agency landing spots: Why Phillies, Dodgers, more are in prime position for star shortstop

This previous season, Trea Turner pinned down shortstop for one of many biggest regular-season groups in baseball historical past – the 2022 Los Angeles Dodgers. In addition to supplying stable protection at that very important position, Turner in his age-29 marketing campaign slashed .298/.343/.466 (121 OPS+) with 21 dwelling runs and 39 doubles in 160 video games. Over the previous three seasons, Turner on the plate has an OPS+ of 137. As properly, he stays an elite base-stealer.

Turner proper now additionally occurs to be a free agent, and given his broad-based excellence it isn’t shocking that he ranks extremely on our listing of free brokers for the present offseason. Here’s what we wrote in rating Turner fourth on our high 50:

Turner has been the second-best hitting shortstop in the majors over the past three seasons, posting a better OPS+ than everybody besides Fernando Tatis Jr., whose manufacturing got here in half as many plate appearances resulting from damage and suspension. He’s a dynamic offensive participant, an elite-grade runner with above-average uncooked energy who’s able to posting a 20-20 effort every season. Turner does have an aggressive method on the plate that sees him willingly increase his zone, nevertheless it hasn’t labored in opposition to him but and, apart from, mishit balls are a chance for him to leg out an infield single. The more regarding matter with Turner’s sport is his protection. He dedicated 16 errors final season, by far the many of the high free-agent shortstops. (Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson mixed for 26.) Errors are an imperfect measure, though it is affordable to suppose he may have to slip to the opposite aspect of the bag in the longer term (a position he is already acquainted with, having performed there out of deference to Corey Seager). Regardless, Turner has been a extremely productive hitter all through his profession, and there is not any purpose to count on that to alter quickly.

So in anticipation of what figures to be a heated market for his providers – a deal value near $300 million appears possible – we’re right here to rank all 30 groups based mostly on how possible they are to signal Turner this offseason. This, after all, is topic to alter, and surprises are all the time attainable. Right now, although, this is how issues look for the Turner market.

Tier 1: Not occurring

30. Pittsburgh Pirates
29. Oakland Athletics
28. Cincinnati Reds
27. Kansas City Royals
26. Colorado Rockies
25. Miami Marlins
24. Washington Nationals
23. Detroit Tigers

These groups are at numerous levels of rebuilding and thus are selecting to be non-competitive in the intervening time. As properly, most of those groups have house owners who are unwilling to take a position in the product on the degree required to signal a participant like Turner.

Tier 2: Not actually a match

22. Cleveland Guardians
21. Tampa Bay Rays
20. Houston Astros
19. Texas Rangers
18. San Diego Padres
17. Milwaukee Brewers

While just about any staff may be improved with the addition of a participant like Turner, these groups are just about set in the center infield. As such, they’re unlikely to swim in the Turner waters absent some type of commerce that opens up a spot.

Tier 3: Maybe however exhausting to see it

16. Chicago White Sox
15. Minnesota Twins
14. Los Angeles Angels
13. Toronto Blue Jays

With these golf equipment, there is a want that Turner would fulfill (after which some), however such a pairing is sophisticated by the chance that roster priorities lie elsewhere or an absence of willingness on the a part of possession.

Tier 2: Keep a watch on them

12. Arizona Diamondbacks
11. Baltimore Orioles

These two squads are hardly the favorites for Turner’s providers, however thanks to want and a attainable effort in the direction of competition this winter they advantage monitoring on this entrance. The O’s are significantly intriguing in the case of Turner, nevertheless it’s exhausting to class them with the main contenders simply but.

Tier 1: The favourites

10. St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals are snug with Tommy Edman as their beginning shortstop, and that is a smart method provided that their offseason priorities are including a catcher and a potent left-handed bat in the outfield or at DH. All that stated, Turner stays a risk for the reigning NL Central champs. Signing Turner would enable Edman to improve the second base position for St. Louis or return to his “Swiss Army knife” position whereas remaining an on a regular basis presence in the lineup. It’s no stretch to suppose the Cardinals could be a match for Turner.

9. Atlanta Braves
Obviously, the one means this occurs is that if Swanson inks elsewhere and leaves a gap at quick that the Braves are prepared to pay as much as fill. Turner will not be Swanson’s equal with the glove, however he is a significantly better producer on offense and the superior participant total. There’s some query whether or not Atlanta is prepared to take such a giant swing even in the absence of Swanson.

8. Chicago Cubs
The Cubs say they’ll make investments in the roster this winter after not doing so for a while. They want enhancements everywhere, and shortstop is actually a kind of areas of want. The Cubs might favor to make a run at Carlos Correa on account of his being youthful than Turner, however Turner’s certainly on their radar, as properly.

7. Seattle Mariners
The Mariners, by phrase and deed, stay dedicated to JP Crawford at quick, however they’ve curiosity in high-profile shortstops prepared to shift to second base, the place there’s a distinct want for an improve. It’s after all value recalling that after Turner was traded to the Dodgers in the course of the 2021 season he really shifted to second base in order that Corey Seager might stay at quick. Free agency carries with it a lot more autonomy, nonetheless, so it isn’t sure that Turner would nonetheless be prepared to make such a shift. Among the 4 premium free agent shortstops – Turner, Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, and Dansby Swanson – Turner’s the one one who’s frolicked at second as a serious leaguer.

6. New York Mets
The Mets are one other staff with reported curiosity in Turner as a second baseman. Francisco Lindor is among the many greatest shortstops in baseball, and he is not going anyplace. Turner, although, could be a wonderful match at second base for the Mets, they usually have the assets (and an proprietor who really cares about profitable). A precedence could also be retaining Jacob deGrom or signing the likes of Justin Verlander to exchange him, however a play for Turner additionally seems to be on the radar.

5. New York Yankees
The Yankees’ first order of enterprise is re-signing Aaron Judge. If, nonetheless, that does not come to cross or if the Yanks determine to make use of more of their mainly limitless assets, then Turner could be a useful addition. Shortstop was an issue space final season due to Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s incapacity to hit in opposition to major-league pitching. If Kiner-Falefa is moved or if the Yankees decide he is greatest deployed as a reserve, they will be higher off. Turner in place of the established order would enhance the Yankees’ probabilities at profitable the World Series considerably.

4. San Francisco Giants
Brandon Crawford seems to be nonetheless entrenched on the position, however lead decision-maker Farhan Zaidi lately stated he is been in contact with the reps for free agent shortstops whose shoppers might have a willingness to maneuver off the position in deference to Crawford. Left unspoken is whether or not this group consists of Turner, however what is understood is that the Giants badly want a producer like Turner in the lineup.

3. Boston Red Sox
The presumed departure of Bogaerts, himself a free agent, opens up shortstop for Boston. (Really, Bogaerts’ days on the position needs to be over, anyway.) Turner, clearly, would fill that gap properly and supply a considerable defensive improve. The Red Sox’s dedication to fielding a contending staff could be very a lot left to query lately, but when they determine to faucet into their huge assets then Turner may very well be an actual needle-mover for them.

2. Los Angeles Dodgers
It’s not clear that the incumbent Dodgers are prioritizing a Turner reunion. Still, they are the incumbents, and Turner was a dependable performer for them the previous season-and-a-half. Right now, Gavin Lux is penciled in as LA’s beginning shortstop, however that leaves a gap at Lux’s 2022 position of second base (except you purchase Chris Taylor as a daily on the position). Needless to say, Andrew Friedman does not usually go away roster holes unfilled. The path of least resistance is to pay the going charges for Turner.

1. Philadelphia Phillies
There’s been fairly a little bit of buzz surrounding this potential pairing. Yes, Bryson Stott goes to be a long-term presence in Philly, however Turner could be a considerable improve with the bat on the shortstop position. Also, Stott might have a transparent path to taking part in at second base now that Jean Segura figures to be sure elsewhere. Also, Turner is alleged to stay near his former Washington Nationals teammate Bryce Harper, who now after all performs for the Phillies, and Turner is alleged to favor a return to the East Coast. Mostly, although, this can be a participant who fills a necessity for a membership that has proven a transparent willingness to take a position in the roster in current years.

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