5 Things I care about
Aaron Jones continues to be the centerpiece of the Packers offense
For the crux of my love Aaron Jones in fantasy this season was all about the concept that he would change Davante Adams as the focal piece of the offense alongside Aaron Rodgers. Week 1 was disconcerting as Jones wasn’t a fixture in the passing sport AJ Dillon assumed extra work than Jones.
Head coach Matt LaFleur was onerous on himself publicly for letting that occur. He backed up his phrases with actions in Week 2.
Jones was on the subject for 60 % of the group’s offensive snaps and touched the ball 18 instances. He was top-three on the group in routes run and the group acquired him in area to make performs. Jones averaged 10.7 yards after the catch per reception. He discovered the finish zone twice, as soon as via the air and as soon as on the floor. He averaged 10.8 yards per contact in opposition to the Bears.
Jones appeared like precisely what he’s; the most explosive participant on the offense.
He wants to stay the engine of the offense. Now, Dillon is a extremely good again. He’s a grinder with extra fluidity in the passing sport than you’d suppose. He had a pleasant night time too with 19 touches and a number of other large performs when each he and Jones have been on the subject collectively. This is not an anti-Dillon stance.
Jones simply has a lot extra juice and is the much more explosive participant on an offense that lacks these qualities in the receiver corps. I really feel assured that LaFleur and particularly Rodgers notice that and he’ll stay the engine of the offense. As lengthy as “the assumption of rational teaching” comes via, the one-week, Aaron Jones stress-fest is over.
Garrett Wilson rocketing up the depth chart
I’m an enormous fan of each the Jets’ younger extensive receivers. Elijah Moore was an enormous fantasy-draft goal of mine this 12 months as a result of I assumed Garrett Wilson may take just a little little bit of time to get ramped up.
So far, he does not appear to be he wants it. The rookie Wilson acquired some intensely promising utilization in Week 2.
Wilson ran extra routes than Corey Davis in opposition to the Browns and acquired a team-high 14 targets for a 32.6 % share. He additionally dealt with 44% of the group’s air yards together with 5 red-zone targets, three of which got here in the finish zone. Wilson took 51.6% of snaps in the slot, which suggests he is formally pushed Braxton Berrios out of the offensive rotation.
Wilson turned all this into eight catches for 102 yards and a pair of scores. He’s arrived — and he is good.
Moore nonetheless ran a route on 93.6% of Joe Flacco’s dropbacks and has vibrant days forward. But, at the very least, it may be time for the rankings hole between these two gamers to start out closing the remainder of the manner.
Amon-Ra St. Brown may be a WR1
What’s stopping him from being ranked as a top-12 receiver going ahead?
Amon-Ra St. Brown is completely balling out via two weeks and it is an ideal continuation of what he did final 12 months. He’s run a route on 91% of Jared Goff’s 2022 dropbacks and has a 33.8% goal share with three end-zone targets to his identify.
Best of all: He’s so good at the sport. He’s incomes this quantity and the Lions are designing the passing sport round him. There isn’t any cause to suppose he’ll decelerate.
St. Brown may nicely be a second-round decide if we redrafted at this time. That would put him close to the top-10 receivers. He’s earned that remedy.
The Dolphins receiver corps
I mentioned this offseason that the solely manner Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle would each repay their aggressive ADPs could be if both Tua Tagovailoa took an enormous step ahead or all different Miami pass-catchers have been rendered irrelevant.
After two weeks, it seems to be like each issues may be true.
In a dominant Week 2 displaying, Waddle and Hill grew to become the solely pair of wideouts in NFL historical past with 170-plus-yards and two touchdowns every — in the similar sport. The duo dealt with 88 % of the air yards and 64 % of the group targets mixed.
Tight finish Mike Gesicki acquired again in the combine with a full complement of routes and a landing catch in the again of the finish zone, too. That could have needed to do with the comeback sport script. Overall, although, virtually no different Dolphins participant has been a constant a part of the passing sport exterior of their dynamic receiver duo.
On the second level, it is time to give Tua some respect. We nonetheless do not know the place he ranks amongst the pantheon of NFL quarterbacks but it surely’s clear he seems to be extra comfy than ever on this offense.
He’s adequate to get it performed, the offense is closely concentrated and this Miami receiver duo is unreal. It’s wheels up for Hill and Waddle.
Allen Robinson is ok
Sean McVay mentioned he knew he wanted to get Allen Robinson extra concerned after Week 1’s nightmare — and he was true to his phrase.
Robinson was the goal of Matthew Stafford’s first throw of the day, leading to a 15-yard catch. He additionally secured the first landing of the sport and was just a few dangerous luck away from two extra scores. Stafford simply barely overthrew him on one other fade route. That was the regular one.
The Rams then lined Robinson up in the backfield — we like to see that — then threw him the ball for his second landing which ended up being wiped out resulting from a medical timeout. Robinson was already in the finish zone when the whistle blew. Haven’t seen that one earlier than.
All in all, Robinson was on the subject for 90.5% of the group’s snaps and drew two end-zone targets. He’ll be a mid-to-low WR2 with landing upside each single week; you can safely ignore Week 1.
5 Things I do not care about
Darnell Mooney’s preseason rating
The Bears have some proficient gamers with potential on offense but it surely’s wanting like none of them are going to come back near regular fantasy choices.
Darnell Mooney was the favourite to emerge as a fantasy issue merely due to quantity. However, that is the downside you run into when you count on a man who initiatives finest as a positive No. 2 receiver or nice No. 3 receiver to deal with No. 1 receiver quantity just because “there isn’t any one else to catch the ball.” There can all the time be another person.
Through two weeks, Mooney has a 17.9% share of the group’s targets. He’s averaging 17.2 air yards per goal however these deep pictures have been too sporadic and rare. Winning down the subject is Mooney’s specialty however he isn’t a real full-field No. 1 wideout. Justin Fields has discovered timing with bit receivers like Equanimeous St. Brown in the intermediate space. Again, there can all the time be another person.
Fields dropped again to move simply 17 instances in opposition to Green Bay. We’re not attempting to dig for lots of gold in any such setting. So if Mooney is not going to dominate the targets in Chicago, he will wrestle to be a reliable weekly choice. He’s a very good participant however he will drop down the rest-of-season rankings.
Christian Kirk’s contract
Christian Kirk’s stunning free-agent contract took up quite a lot of oxygen this offseason. If you’re nonetheless specializing in that, you’re lacking the level.
Through two weeks, Kirk has a 27% goal share and has inhaled 30.7% of the Jaguars’ air yards. He’s lined up in the slot on 71.6% of his snaps however he is been capable of win from quite a lot of alignments. He discovered the finish zone twice on Sunday and has 12 catches for 195 yards over the course of his first two Jaguars video games.
Kirk seems to be like one in all the finest worth picks in fantasy soccer and he is been superior for the Jaguars in actual life, as nicely.
Not solely do I not care about Kirk’s contract for fantasy soccer, but it surely may additionally be a foolish dialogue level throughout. So far, the Kirk acquisition has been an enormous win for Jacksonville, contract be damned.
Judging Colts too shortly
If it appears like I’m making excuses for the Colts, truthful sufficient. This group should not be 0-1-1. However, they all the time begin sluggish in September, lose weirdly to the Jaguars and do have an affordable rationalization for why they weren’t good on Sunday.
The Colts have been already a shallow passing group and have been down their two finest guys in No. 1 extensive receiver Michael Pittman and explosive rookie Alec Pierce. It’s onerous to overstate how large of a loss Pittman is to this group. He’s going to be a consensus top-15 real-life extensive receiver very quickly. That’s how good he’s.
When you take into account the guys who should step up and change him, it is an enormous downside for the Colts to not have Pittman out there. We’re speaking about Parris Campbell, Ashton Dulin and Michael Strachan. That’s a tough group of men who aren’t authentic full-time gamers. The Colts will look higher after they aren’t rolling out that group.
Another downside for the Colts is that the move safety has sprung up some leaks. That’s all the time going to be a difficulty with Matt Ryan at quarterback He was a bottom-three quarterback in EPA per dropback when pressured in Week 2.
If the offensive line can get it collectively and Pittman returns wholesome, we’ll in all probability look again at this as simply one other one in all their sluggish September stretches.
Rashod Bateman’s low route share
If you have been an enormous Rashod Bateman backer, you’re loving his explosive begin to the season. The second-year receiver has stacked back-to-back video games with monster large performs
Bateman executed a phenomenal route in opposition to Xavien Howard after which took off for a 70-plus-yard catch-and-run landing in Week 2. He has extra juice than he is proven at any level in the prior two seasons (2020 in school, 2021 in the NFL) as a result of he is absolutely wholesome now.
Yet, regardless of all that, there shall be some small hand-wringing over Bateman’s taking part in time. He was on and off the subject in Week 1. He had a 57% snap charge and solely ran a route on 70% of Lamar Jackson’s dropbacks in Week 2.
I’m not anxious about it. The Ravens are rotating their receivers for sure packages. It seems to be like they need different guys to love Demarcus Robinson on the subject for dashing downs or three-tight finish units. Oh nicely; does not matter
Bateman is inhaling targets when he is on the subject. The air yards have been beefy via two video games. He seems to be each bit the a part of not only a high-upside weekly WR2 however one in all the many younger star receivers in the league. Bet on these guys.
Stressing Cooper Rush
Listen, if CeeDee Lamb goes to push for 11 targets each sport, it does not matter if Cooper Rush is beginning for Dallas. He’s not going to have the similar ceiling as he would in a greater ecosystem Dak Prescott at the helm however issues aren’t as bleak as they appeared per week in the past.
Lamb dominated Dallas’ air yards in Week 2 with a 56.7% share. He made large performs however was additionally environment friendly in shifting the chains with 4 first downs. He additionally acquired an enormous increase with Noah Brown rising as a big-play risk on the different aspect. Brown averaged over 15 air yards per goal and earned a primary down on all 5 of his targets. Lamb wanted somebody to stretch out the protection.
Rush seems to be like a man who can preserve the ship afloat. He’s now received each of his begins with Dallas. Frankly, Dallas’ ecosystem appeared significantly better total this week than it did in Week 1. Then once more, given the manner the Saints offense simply acquired obliterated by Tampa Bay, I’m beginning to suppose that Bucs’ protection is simply actually good.
Lamb should nonetheless be capable of have his breakthrough season as a authentic prime receiver. It will not be as explosive as we thought however he’ll nonetheless get there — even with Rush for a stretch.